Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003346 0.003510 0.003677 0.003861 0.004058 0.004263 0.004492
2025-06-01 0.003052 0.003295 0.003553 0.003849 0.004180 0.004539 0.004961
2025-06-08 0.002851 0.003138 0.003450 0.003818 0.004242 0.004717 0.005293
2025-06-15 0.002678 0.002990 0.003338 0.003757 0.004250 0.004818 0.005528
2025-06-22 0.002539 0.002870 0.003245 0.003705 0.004259 0.004911 0.005745
2025-06-29 0.002450 0.002801 0.003204 0.003707 0.004325 0.005067 0.006041
2025-07-06 0.002312 0.002665 0.003077 0.003598 0.004247 0.005041 0.006101
2025-07-13 0.002245 0.002613 0.003046 0.003601 0.004305 0.005180 0.006374
2025-07-20 0.002210 0.002595 0.003054 0.003652 0.004421 0.005396 0.006757
2025-07-27 0.002138 0.002528 0.002999 0.003619 0.004428 0.005470 0.006948
2025-08-03 0.002076 0.002472 0.002954 0.003596 0.004445 0.005553 0.007156
2025-08-10 0.002016 0.002416 0.002908 0.003569 0.004454 0.005625 0.007347
2025-08-17 0.001996 0.002410 0.002924 0.003624 0.004575 0.005856 0.007779
2025-08-24 0.001948 0.002366 0.002891 0.003613 0.004606 0.005962 0.008034
2025-08-31 0.001895 0.002315 0.002847 0.003584 0.004610 0.006030 0.008235
2025-09-07 0.001835 0.002252 0.002784 0.003528 0.004573 0.006036 0.008340
2025-09-14 0.001781 0.002197 0.002729 0.003481 0.004546 0.006055 0.008465
2025-09-21 0.001750 0.002169 0.002711 0.003483 0.004588 0.006175 0.008752
2025-09-28 0.001681 0.002090 0.002622 0.003383 0.004480 0.006068 0.008672
2025-10-05 0.001653 0.002066 0.002606 0.003385 0.004520 0.006184 0.008956
2025-10-12 0.001644 0.002066 0.002622 0.003432 0.004626 0.006402 0.009417
2025-10-19 0.001607 0.002027 0.002585 0.003402 0.004617 0.006443 0.009585
2025-10-26 0.001575 0.001995 0.002554 0.003381 0.004620 0.006501 0.009784